UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Benavidez vs Torres

2,082

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

1,864

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Miguel Torres
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 163 cm Around 20% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Torres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Torres
Significant Strikes48
Benavidez's good striking offense is matched by Torres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Torres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Torres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miguel
Torres
In 10:48, how much damage will he do? Torres Benavidez
Significant Strikes43
Torres's average striking offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Torres's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:48
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Torres is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Torres is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Torres is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Torres 8.5
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Torres 7.0
Great takedowns by Benavidez
1 takedown Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
5 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Loveland
2 takedowns Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Torres 6.9
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Torres 7.3
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Torres 7.4
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 6, 2010WEC 47
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,9182,070
1,9892,000
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Torres
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus