UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Benavidez vs Pettis

2,082

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

1,925

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Sergio Pettis
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 24 years vs 33 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Pettis
Significant Strikes57
Benavidez's good striking offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Benavidez's below average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergio
Pettis
In 10:25, how much damage will he do? Pettis Benavidez
Significant Strikes43
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great takedowns by Pettis
2 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Campuzano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Pettis 7.3
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Pettis 7.9
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 9, 2018UFC 225
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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