UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hamill vs Silva

1,906

CageRank

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Hamill
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hamill’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Silva Hamill
Significant Strikes68
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Hamill's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Hamill's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hamill on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Hamill
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Hamill Silva
Significant Strikes55
Hamill's good striking offense may be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Hamill's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hamill is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hamill is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hamill has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Hamill 8.9
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.3
fighter Hamill 8.7
Great takedowns by Hamill
6 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Hollett
3 takedowns Oct 23, 2010 vs Ortiz
2 takedowns Jun 19, 2010 vs Jardine

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Hamill 7.9
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
Round 2 Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 6.9
fighter Hamill 6.5
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Round 1 Sep 27, 2006 vs Dalgliesh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Hamill 7.9
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 29
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,9511,986
1,9062,031
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Hamill
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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