UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hamill vs Bisping

1,906

CageRank

WINNER
Bisping

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Bisping
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Matt Hamill
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hamill’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bisping Hamill
Significant Strikes108
Bisping's excellent striking offense will dominate Hamill's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bisping's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hamill's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Hamill on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Hamill
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hamill Bisping
Significant Strikes66
Hamill's good striking offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Hamill's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hamill is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hamill is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hamill has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bisping 9.5
fighter Hamill 8.9
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Hamill 8.7
Great takedowns by Hamill
6 takedowns Sep 22, 2012 vs Hollett
3 takedowns Oct 23, 2010 vs Ortiz
2 takedowns Jun 19, 2010 vs Jardine

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bisping 8.5
fighter Hamill 7.9
Great knockouts by Bisping
Round 3 Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
Round 2 Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bisping 6.8
fighter Hamill 6.5
Great submissions by Bisping
Round 1 Nov 26, 2005 vs Pointon
Round 1 Oct 01, 2005 vs Lovstad
Round 1 Jun 18, 2005 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bisping 8.3
fighter Hamill 7.9
Fast finishes by Bisping
814 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
414 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
222 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 8, 2007UFC 75
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,7221,933
1,6991,956
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bisping
legend Hamill
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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