UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Zaromskis vs Diaz

1,925

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.2 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 178 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much stronger jaw 9.8 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Marius Zaromskis
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Zaromskis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Diaz Zaromskis
Significant Strikes76
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Zaromskis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Zaromskis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Zaromskis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marius
Zaromskis
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Zaromskis Diaz
Significant Strikes60
Zaromskis's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Zaromskis's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Zaromskis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Zaromskis is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Zaromskis has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Zaromskis 8.9
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Zaromskis 7.6
Great takedowns by Diaz
1 takedown May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
1 takedown Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
3 takedowns Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Zaromskis 8.2
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Zaromskis 6.2
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Zaromskis 8.0
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 30, 2010Strikeforce - Miami
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
1,9382,040
1,9032,075
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Zaromskis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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