UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Thiago vs Bahadurzada

1,827

CageRank

WINNER
Bahadurzada

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Bahadurzada
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Siyar Bahadurzada
Much heavier hands 8.9 vs 6.9 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Paulo Thiago
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 188 cm vs 184 cm Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Bahadurzada on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thiago’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Siyar
Bahadurzada
In 9:09, how much damage will he do? Bahadurzada Thiago
Significant Strikes35
Bahadurzada's average striking offense is matched by Thiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bahadurzada's average takedown offense is matched by Thiago's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bahadurzada is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Thiago on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bahadurzada’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paulo
Thiago
In 9:09, how much damage will he do? Thiago Bahadurzada
Significant Strikes26
Thiago's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:09
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Thiago's average takedown offense is matched by Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thiago is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thiago is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thiago is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.4
fighter Thiago 7.9
Great striking by Bahadurzada
3 strikes Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.0
fighter Thiago 8.5
Great takedowns by Thiago
2 takedowns May 18, 2013 vs Prazeres
6 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Mitchell
2 takedowns Nov 21, 2009 vs Volkmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bahadurzada 8.9
fighter Thiago 6.9
Great knockouts by Bahadurzada
Round 1 Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
Round 1 Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bahadurzada 7.0
fighter Thiago 7.6
Great submissions by Thiago
Round 2 Feb 06, 2010 vs Swick
Round 1 Dec 14, 2007 vs Bettega
Round 1 Oct 13, 2006 vs Maux

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bahadurzada 9.1
fighter Thiago 7.7
Fast finishes by Bahadurzada
42 seconds Apr 14, 2012 vs Thiago
115 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Alessio
94 seconds Aug 06, 2010 vs Alexandre Pereira
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 14, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 2
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,9672,079
1,9332,113
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bahadurzada
legend Thiago
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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