UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Hansen

2,231

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

1,858

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.9 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Joachim Hansen
From what we can tell, Eddie Alvarez dominates Joachim Hansen in every way.
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hansen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? Alvarez Hansen
Significant Strikes42
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hansen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hansen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joachim
Hansen
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? Hansen Alvarez
Significant Strikes36
Hansen's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hansen's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hansen is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hansen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hansen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter Hansen 8.4
Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
46 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
48 strikes May 11, 2008 vs Hansen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter Hansen 8.4
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter Hansen 6.9
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter Hansen 8.2
Great submissions by Hansen
Round 2 Apr 13, 2013 vs Seo
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Tokoro
Round 3 Feb 24, 2007 vs Ireland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter Hansen 7.8
Fast finishes by Alvarez
134 seconds Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
338 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada
455 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 11, 2008Dream 3
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
R1 KOX
1,9721,932
2,0171,888
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend Hansen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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