UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Kikuno

2,231

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
81% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

1,977

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Katsunori Kikuno
From what we can tell, Eddie Alvarez dominates Katsunori Kikuno in every way.
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kikuno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 11:13, how much damage will he do? Alvarez Kikuno
Significant Strikes53
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Kikuno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:13
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Kikuno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:13
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kikuno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Katsunori
Kikuno
In 11:13, how much damage will he do? Kikuno Alvarez
Significant Strikes51
Kikuno's good striking offense may be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:13
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kikuno's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kikuno has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kikuno is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kikuno is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter Kikuno 8.6
Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
46 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
48 strikes May 11, 2008 vs Hansen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter Kikuno 8.5
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter Kikuno 8.3
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter Kikuno 6.7
Great submissions by Alvarez
Round 2 May 06, 2010 vs Neer
Round 2 Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
Round 2 Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter Kikuno 8.7
Fast finishes by Alvarez
134 seconds Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
338 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada
455 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 25, 2009Dream 12
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
2,1041,907
2,1281,882
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend Kikuno
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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