CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Alvarez vs Neer
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much stronger takedown offense | 9.2 | vs | 7.6 | More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Much harder to hit | 8.7 | vs | 8.0 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Significantly better takedown defense | 9.0 | vs | 8.2 | Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly heavier hands | 8.8 | vs | 8.4 | More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders |
Fast finishes | 8.9 | vs | 8.6 | Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Better striker | 8.7 | vs | 8.4 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 9.0 | More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Better submission offense | 8.0 | vs | 7.9 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Josh Neer
Heavier | 169 lbs | vs | 155 lbs | Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Slightly taller | 180 cm | vs | 178 cm | Almost the same |
Alvarez on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Neer’s defensive skills
Predictions For Eddie Alvarez |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? | Alvarez | Neer | |
Significant Strikes66
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Neer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns4
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Neer's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33 |
Excellent
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
Neer on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For Josh Neer |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 10:33, how much damage will he do? | Neer | Alvarez | |
Significant Strikes41
Neer's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Neer's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Neer has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Neer is unlikely to win by submission |
Good
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Neer is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Alvarez
20 strikes | Oct 25, 2009 | vs Kikuno |
46 strikes | Jul 21, 2008 | vs Kawajiri |
48 strikes | May 11, 2008 | vs Hansen |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 | Apr 20, 2012 | vs Aoki |
Round 2 | Oct 21, 2010 | vs Huerta |
Round 1 | Jul 21, 2008 | vs Kawajiri |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Alvarez
134 seconds | Apr 20, 2012 | vs Aoki |
338 seconds | Jun 19, 2009 | vs Imada |
455 seconds | Jul 21, 2008 | vs Kawajiri |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?