Eddie Alvarez 28-5

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 10"
Reach
Age 33

Josh Neer 46-18-1 The Dentist

169 lbs
5' 11"
72"
34

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Neer

CageRank

WINNER

87% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Eddie Alvarez

Much stronger takedown offense	9.2	vs	7.6	More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit	8.7	vs	8.0	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense	9.0	vs	8.2	Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands	8.8	vs	8.4	More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes	8.9	vs	8.6	Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker	8.7	vs	8.4	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	9.0	More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense	8.0	vs	7.9	Almost the same

Advantages for Josh Neer

Heavier	169 lbs	vs	155 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller	180 cm	vs	178 cm	Almost the same

Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Neer’s defensive skills

Predictions For Eddie Alvarez
In 10:33, how much damage will he do?	Alvarez		Neer
Significant Strikes66 Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Neer's defense Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33	Good Striking	vs	Poor Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4 Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Neer's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33	Excellent Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Neer on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills

Predictions For Josh Neer
In 10:33, how much damage will he do?	Neer		Alvarez
Significant Strikes41 Neer's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:33	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Neer's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:33	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Neer has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Neer is unlikely to win by submission	Good Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Neer is unlikely to win by decision	Poor Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability