Eddie Alvarez 28-5

Weight 155 lbs
Height 5' 10"
Reach
Age 33

Tatsuya Kawajiri 36-11-2 Crusher

144 lbs
5' 7"
69"
39

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Kawajiri

CageRank

WINNER

66% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Eddie Alvarez

Much heavier hands	8.8	vs	7.5	Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker	8.7	vs	8.0	Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes	8.9	vs	8.5	More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller	178 cm	vs	170 cm	Around 5% taller
Younger	33 years	vs	39 years	More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw	9.2	vs	8.9	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	9.3	Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier	155 lbs	vs	144 lbs	Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Advantages for Tatsuya Kawajiri

Much harder to hit	9.5	vs	8.7	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense	8.4	vs	8.0	Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense	9.4	vs	9.0	Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense	9.3	vs	9.0	Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap

Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kawajiri’s defensive skills

Predictions For Eddie Alvarez
In 11:22, how much damage will he do?	Alvarez		Kawajiri
Significant Strikes34 Alvarez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Kawajiri's defense Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22	Good Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Alvarez's excellent takedown offense is matched by Kawajiri's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22	Excellent Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Kawajiri on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills

Predictions For Tatsuya Kawajiri
In 11:22, how much damage will he do?	Kawajiri		Alvarez
Significant Strikes36 Kawajiri's average striking offense is matched by Alvarez's defense Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:22	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Kawajiri's excellent takedown offense will dominate Alvarez's defense Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:22	Excellent Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Kawajiri is unlikely to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Kawajiri has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Kawajiri is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability