UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Huerta

2,231

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Alvarez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
93% chance Alvarez
WILL WIN

1,771

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddie Alvarez
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Roger Huerta
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Huerta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddie
Alvarez
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Alvarez Huerta
Significant Strikes50
Alvarez's good striking offense may be a factor against Huerta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Alvarez's excellent takedown offense will dominate Huerta's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Huerta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roger
Huerta
In 11:11, how much damage will he do? Huerta Alvarez
Significant Strikes54
Huerta's good striking offense may be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:11
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Huerta's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alvarez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:11
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Huerta is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Huerta is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Huerta is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Alvarez 8.7
fighter Huerta 8.8
Great striking by Huerta
31 strikes Dec 08, 2007 vs Guida
85 strikes Apr 07, 2007 vs Garcia
71 strikes Sep 23, 2006 vs Dent

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Alvarez 9.2
fighter Huerta 8.1
Great takedowns by Alvarez
2 takedowns Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
7 takedowns May 11, 2008 vs Hansen
3 takedowns Mar 15, 2008 vs Amado

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alvarez 8.8
fighter Huerta 7.7
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
Round 2 Oct 21, 2010 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alvarez 8.1
fighter Huerta 7.3
Great submissions by Alvarez
Round 2 May 06, 2010 vs Neer
Round 2 Oct 25, 2009 vs Kikuno
Round 2 Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alvarez 8.9
fighter Huerta 7.6
Fast finishes by Alvarez
134 seconds Apr 20, 2012 vs Aoki
338 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Imada
455 seconds Jul 21, 2008 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 21, 2010Bellator 33
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,1481,919
2,1691,898
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alvarez
legend Huerta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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