UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tavares vs Fukuda

1,957

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tavares

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Tavares
WILL WIN

1,911

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brad Tavares
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Riki Fukuda
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fukuda’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Tavares
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tavares Fukuda
Significant Strikes82
Tavares's average striking offense may be a factor against Fukuda's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tavares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fukuda's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tavares has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fukuda on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Riki
Fukuda
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fukuda Tavares
Significant Strikes71
Fukuda's good striking offense may be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fukuda's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fukuda has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fukuda is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fukuda has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tavares 8.5
fighter Fukuda 8.7
Great striking by Fukuda
85 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs DeBlass
124 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Cantwell
32 strikes Apr 05, 2009 vs Rua

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tavares 8.3
fighter Fukuda 8.5
Great takedowns by Fukuda
3 takedowns Nov 10, 2012 vs DeBlass
3 takedowns Feb 26, 2012 vs Cantwell

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tavares 7.4
fighter Fukuda 8.2
Great knockouts by Fukuda
Round 2 Jan 18, 2014 vs Seung Kim
Round 2 Aug 27, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 1 Feb 20, 2009 vs Sakurai

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tavares 6.9
fighter Fukuda 6.3
Great submissions by Tavares
Round 2 Sep 27, 2008 vs Ferreira
Round 1 Apr 18, 2008 vs Ferrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tavares 7.6
fighter Fukuda 8.1
Fast finishes by Fukuda
439 seconds Jan 18, 2014 vs Seung Kim
332 seconds Aug 27, 2010 vs Sakurai
45 seconds Feb 20, 2009 vs Sakurai
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 8
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,8601,915
1,9181,858
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tavares
legend Fukuda
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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