UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tavares vs Watson

1,957

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tavares

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
67% chance Tavares
WILL WIN

1,837

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brad Tavares
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Watson
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Watson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Tavares
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tavares Watson
Significant Strikes79
Tavares's average striking offense is matched by Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Tavares's average takedown offense may be a factor against Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tavares has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Watson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Watson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Watson Tavares
Significant Strikes70
Watson's good striking offense may be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Watson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Watson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Watson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Watson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tavares 8.5
fighter Watson 8.7
Great striking by Watson
56 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Nedkov

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tavares 8.3
fighter Watson 7.9
Great takedowns by Tavares
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Larkin
5 takedowns Sep 29, 2012 vs Watson
2 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tavares 7.4
fighter Watson 8.4
Great knockouts by Watson
Round 2 Feb 16, 2013 vs Nedkov
Round 2 Mar 24, 2012 vs Marshman
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Galbraith

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tavares 6.9
fighter Watson 6.3
Great submissions by Tavares
Round 2 Sep 27, 2008 vs Ferreira
Round 1 Apr 18, 2008 vs Ferrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tavares 7.6
fighter Watson 7.6
Fast finishes by Tavares
260 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Baroni
112 seconds Aug 02, 2008 vs Kauwe
40 seconds Jun 29, 2007 vs Sedano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 29, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 5
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,7871,961
1,8601,888
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tavares
legend Watson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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