UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tavares vs Marquardt

1,957

CageRank

WINNER
Marquardt

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Marquardt
WILL WIN

2,037

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Marquardt
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.4 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Brad Tavares
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Marquardt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Marquardt
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Marquardt Tavares
Significant Strikes54
Marquardt's good striking offense may be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Marquardt's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marquardt has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Marquardt is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marquardt is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marquardt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Tavares
In 10:55, how much damage will he do? Tavares Marquardt
Significant Strikes42
Tavares's average striking offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:55
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Tavares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Marquardt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tavares has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Marquardt 8.8
fighter Tavares 8.5
Great striking by Marquardt
59 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
1 strike Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
22 strikes Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Marquardt 8.4
fighter Tavares 8.3
Great takedowns by Marquardt
1 takedown Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
3 takedowns Mar 19, 2011 vs Miller
2 takedowns Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marquardt 8.2
fighter Tavares 7.4
Great knockouts by Marquardt
Round 4 Jul 14, 2012 vs Woodley
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marquardt 7.9
fighter Tavares 6.9
Great submissions by Marquardt
Round 2 Feb 02, 2008 vs Horn
Round 2 Oct 10, 2006 vs Wallace
Round 3 May 01, 2005 vs Takeuchi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marquardt 8.6
fighter Tavares 7.6
Fast finishes by Marquardt
208 seconds Sep 15, 2010 vs Palhares
21 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Maia
82 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Kampmann
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 3, 2015UFC 182
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marquardt
legend Tavares
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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