UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tavares vs Baroni

1,957

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tavares

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Tavares
WILL WIN

1,573

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brad Tavares
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 29 years vs 41 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 189 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.3 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Phil Baroni
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baroni’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Tavares
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tavares Baroni
Significant Strikes94
Tavares's average striking offense may be a factor against Baroni's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Tavares's average takedown offense is matched by Baroni's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tavares has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Baroni on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Phil
Baroni
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Baroni Tavares
Significant Strikes73
Baroni's good striking offense may be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Baroni's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baroni is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baroni is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baroni is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tavares 8.5
fighter Baroni 8.8
Great striking by Baroni
10 strikes Apr 02, 2006 vs Kondo
10 strikes Jul 17, 2005 vs Chonan
8 strikes Sep 27, 2002 vs Menne

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tavares 8.3
fighter Baroni 8.2
Great takedowns by Tavares
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Larkin
5 takedowns Sep 29, 2012 vs Watson
2 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tavares 7.4
fighter Baroni 7.3
Great knockouts by Tavares
Round 1 Jan 01, 2011 vs Baroni
Round 1 Aug 02, 2008 vs Kauwe
Round 1 Jun 29, 2007 vs Sedano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tavares 6.9
fighter Baroni 6.4
Great submissions by Tavares
Round 2 Sep 27, 2008 vs Ferreira
Round 1 Apr 18, 2008 vs Ferrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tavares 7.6
fighter Baroni 7.4
Fast finishes by Tavares
260 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Baroni
112 seconds Aug 02, 2008 vs Kauwe
40 seconds Jun 29, 2007 vs Sedano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,7291,647
1,7671,609
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tavares
legend Baroni
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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