UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tavares vs Magalhaes

1,957

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Tavares

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Tavares
WILL WIN

1,898

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brad Tavares
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Caio Magalhaes
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Tavares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magalhaes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Tavares
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Tavares Magalhaes
Significant Strikes71
Tavares's average striking offense is matched by Magalhaes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Tavares's average takedown offense is matched by Magalhaes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tavares is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tavares is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tavares has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magalhaes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tavares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Caio
Magalhaes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Magalhaes Tavares
Significant Strikes56
Magalhaes's average striking offense is matched by Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Magalhaes's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Tavares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magalhaes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magalhaes is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magalhaes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tavares 8.5
fighter Magalhaes 8.3
Great striking by Tavares
45 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Larkin
116 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Fukuda
83 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tavares 8.3
fighter Magalhaes 8.4
Great takedowns by Magalhaes
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Vemola

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tavares 7.4
fighter Magalhaes 7.7
Great knockouts by Magalhaes
Round 1 Nov 08, 2014 vs Smith
Round 1 Apr 19, 2014 vs Zachrich
Round 1 Oct 14, 2010 vs Otavio dos Santos Lacerda

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tavares 6.9
fighter Magalhaes 7.7
Great submissions by Magalhaes
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Vemola
Round 1 Mar 03, 2011 vs Pai de Santo
Round 3 Aug 27, 2009 vs de Souza da Silva

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tavares 7.6
fighter Magalhaes 8.0
Fast finishes by Magalhaes
469 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Vemola
185 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Pai de Santo
298 seconds Oct 14, 2010 vs Otavio dos Santos Lacerda
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 10, 2016UFC 203
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tavares
legend Magalhaes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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