UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Watson vs Foupa-Pokam

1,837

CageRank

WINNER
Foupa-Pokam

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Foupa-Pokam
WILL WIN

1,843

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Xavier Foupa-Pokam
Significantly better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Watson
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Foupa-Pokam on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Watson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Xavier
Foupa-Pokam
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Foupa-Pokam Watson
Significant Strikes66
Foupa-Pokam's average striking offense is matched by Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Foupa-Pokam's average takedown offense may be a factor against Watson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Foupa-Pokam is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Foupa-Pokam is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Foupa-Pokam has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Watson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Foupa-Pokam’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Watson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Watson Foupa-Pokam
Significant Strikes83
Watson's good striking offense may be a factor against Foupa-Pokam's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Watson's average takedown offense is matched by Foupa-Pokam's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Watson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Watson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Watson is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Foupa-Pokam 8.1
fighter Watson 8.7
Great striking by Watson
56 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Nedkov

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Foupa-Pokam 8.0
fighter Watson 8.4
Great knockouts by Watson
Round 2 Feb 16, 2013 vs Nedkov
Round 2 Mar 24, 2012 vs Marshman
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Galbraith

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Foupa-Pokam 6.9
fighter Watson 6.3
Great submissions by Foupa-Pokam
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Shapovalov
Round 1 Nov 29, 2008 vs Rudakov
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Foupa-Pokam 7.9
fighter Watson 7.6
Fast finishes by Foupa-Pokam
135 seconds Mar 29, 2013 vs Troyer
110 seconds Nov 29, 2008 vs Rudakov
545 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Gambaryan
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 21, 2007Cage Rage 21
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5721,694
1,5391,728
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Foupa-Pokam
legend Watson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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