UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Struve vs Miocic

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 193 cm More than 10% taller
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 215 cm vs 203 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 244 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 10:23, how much damage will he do? Miocic Struve
Significant Strikes65
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:23
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miocic's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 10:23, how much damage will he do? Struve Miocic
Significant Strikes48
Struve's average striking offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:23
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Struve 8.4
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter Struve 7.3
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter Struve 8.1
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter Struve 8.0
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Struve 8.8
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 29, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 5
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR1 KO
2,0102,019
2,0611,968
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend Struve
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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