UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Struve vs Blackledge

1,990

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Struve

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
88% chance Struve
WILL WIN

1,636

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 183 cm More than 15% taller
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 196 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Tom Blackledge
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Blackledge’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 5:28, how much damage will he do? Struve Blackledge
Significant Strikes24
Struve's average striking offense is matched by Blackledge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Blackledge's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:28
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Struve has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Blackledge on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Blackledge
In 5:28, how much damage will he do? Blackledge Struve
Significant Strikes28
Blackledge's average striking offense may be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:28
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Blackledge's average takedown offense is matched by Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Blackledge is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Blackledge is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Blackledge is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Struve 8.1
fighter Blackledge 7.3
Great knockouts by Struve
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
Round 2 Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Dec 11, 2010 vs McCorkle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Struve 8.0
fighter Blackledge 7.0
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Struve 8.8
fighter Blackledge 8.1
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 4, 2007CG 5 - Cage Gladiators 5
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,7531,662
1,7901,625
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Struve
legend Blackledge
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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