UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brenneman vs Hendricks

1,827

CageRank

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 6.7 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Charlie Brenneman
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brenneman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 6:49, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Brenneman
Significant Strikes43
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:49
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hendricks's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Brenneman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:49
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brenneman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Charlie
Brenneman
In 6:49, how much damage will he do? Brenneman Hendricks
Significant Strikes14
Brenneman's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 61 Significant Strikes in 6:49
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brenneman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:49
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brenneman is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brenneman is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brenneman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Brenneman 7.8
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Brenneman 8.4
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Brenneman 6.7
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Brenneman 7.7
Great submissions by Brenneman
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Irvin
Round 2 Jan 30, 2010 vs Sheppard

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Brenneman 7.5
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 7, 2010UFC 117
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
DECX
1,9151,902
1,8631,954
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Brenneman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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