UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pickett vs Faber

1,904

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
82% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Brad Pickett
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pickett’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 11:30, how much damage will he do? Faber Pickett
Significant Strikes72
Faber's average striking offense may be a factor against Pickett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Poor
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Pickett's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Pickett on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brad
Pickett
In 11:30, how much damage will he do? Pickett Faber
Significant Strikes39
Pickett's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:30
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pickett's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pickett is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pickett is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pickett is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Pickett 8.6
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Pickett 8.5
Great takedowns by Pickett
4 takedowns Apr 06, 2013 vs Easton
3 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Menjivar
10 takedowns Apr 24, 2010 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Pickett 7.2
Great knockouts by Pickett
Round 1 Sep 29, 2012 vs Jabouin
Round 3 Sep 20, 2008 vs Jazbutis
Round 3 Aug 18, 2007 vs Lee

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Pickett 7.6
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Pickett 7.6
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 17, 2016UFC on Fox 22
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Pickett
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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