UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Manuwa vs Rua

1,996

CageRank

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
54% chance Rua
WILL WIN

2,020

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Significantly longer reach 202 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? Rua Manuwa
Significant Strikes60
Rua's excellent striking offense will dominate Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rua's average takedown offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Rua
Significant Strikes32
Manuwa's good striking offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Manuwa's average takedown offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Manuwa 8.7
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rua 8.3
fighter Manuwa 8.4
Great takedowns by Manuwa
3 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Manuwa 9.9
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Manuwa 6.5
Great submissions by Rua
Round 1 Oct 21, 2006 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Manuwa 8.9
Fast finishes by Manuwa
581 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
300 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
188 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Petrescu
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Manuwa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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