UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Manuwa vs Santos

1,996

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Manuwa

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Manuwa
WILL WIN

1,679

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Much heavier hands 9.9 vs 7.8 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Thiago Santos
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 5:43, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Santos
Significant Strikes31
Manuwa's good striking offense may be a factor against Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:43
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Manuwa's average takedown offense is matched by Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Santos
In 5:43, how much damage will he do? Santos Manuwa
Significant Strikes21
Santos's average striking offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 51 Significant Strikes in 5:43
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Santos's average takedown offense is matched by Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Santos is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Manuwa 8.7
fighter Santos 8.1
Great striking by Manuwa
48 strikes Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
18 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
53 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Manuwa 8.4
fighter Santos 8.3
Great takedowns by Manuwa
3 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Manuwa 9.9
fighter Santos 7.8
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Manuwa 6.5
fighter Santos 6.5
Great submissions by Santos
Round 3 Dec 17, 2011 vs Souza

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Manuwa 8.9
fighter Santos 7.8
Fast finishes by Manuwa
581 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
300 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
188 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Petrescu
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Manuwa
legend Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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