CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Nelson vs Ponzinibbio
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gunnar Nelson
Much better submission offense | 9.4 | vs | 7.3 | Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Significantly fast finishes | 9.0 | vs | 8.2 | Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Better takedown defense | 8.4 | vs | 7.9 | More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down |
Stronger takedown offense | 8.7 | vs | 8.3 | Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Harder to hit | 8.7 | vs | 8.4 | Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Puts up a fight | 9.1 | vs | 8.7 | Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Better striker | 8.5 | vs | 8.3 | Almost the same |
Younger | 29 years | vs | 31 years | More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Advantages for Santiago Ponzinibbio
Heavier hands | 7.8 | vs | 7.1 | Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders |
Taller | 183 cm | vs | 180 cm | Almost the same |
Nelson on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ponzinibbio’s defensive skills
Predictions For Gunnar Nelson |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? | Nelson | Ponzinibbio | |
Significant Strikes42
Nelson's average striking offense is matched by Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns3
Nelson's average takedown offense is matched by Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Nelson is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision |
Below average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Ponzinibbio on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For Santiago Ponzinibbio |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 8:39, how much damage will he do? | Ponzinibbio | Nelson | |
Significant Strikes34
Ponzinibbio's average striking offense is matched by Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:39 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Ponzinibbio's average takedown offense is matched by Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:39 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by knockout |
Good
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Nelson
42 strikes | Feb 16, 2013 | vs Santiago |
9 strikes | Sep 29, 2012 | vs Johnson |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Nelson
2 takedowns | Feb 16, 2013 | vs Santiago |
1 takedown | Sep 29, 2012 | vs Johnson |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Ponzinibbio
Round 2 | Dec 12, 2011 | vs Dias |
Round 1 | Sep 17, 2011 | vs Nascimento |
Round 2 | Apr 24, 2010 | vs Inseto |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 | Feb 25, 2012 | vs Butenko |
Round 1 | Sep 25, 2010 | vs Fadiora |
Round 1 | Aug 28, 2010 | vs Mitchell |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Nelson
261 seconds | Feb 25, 2012 | vs Butenko |
231 seconds | Sep 25, 2010 | vs Fadiora |
171 seconds | Aug 28, 2010 | vs Mitchell |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?