UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nelson vs Akhmedov

2,061

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nelson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Nelson
WILL WIN

1,854

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gunnar Nelson
Much better submission offense 9.4 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer winning streak 13 fights vs 9 fights Around 45% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Omari Akhmedov
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Akhmedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gunnar
Nelson
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Nelson Akhmedov
Significant Strikes39
Nelson's average striking offense is matched by Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nelson's average takedown offense is matched by Akhmedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nelson has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Akhmedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Omari
Akhmedov
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Akhmedov Nelson
Significant Strikes34
Akhmedov's average striking offense is matched by Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Akhmedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Akhmedov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nelson 8.5
fighter Akhmedov 8.4
Great striking by Nelson
42 strikes Feb 16, 2013 vs Santiago
9 strikes Sep 29, 2012 vs Johnson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nelson 8.7
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
Great takedowns by Akhmedov
1 takedown Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nelson 7.1
fighter Akhmedov 7.8
Great knockouts by Akhmedov
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs de Oliveira Perpetuo
Round 1 Dec 22, 2012 vs Haratyk
Round 1 Apr 28, 2012 vs Isakov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nelson 9.4
fighter Akhmedov 7.5
Great submissions by Nelson
Round 1 Feb 25, 2012 vs Butenko
Round 1 Sep 25, 2010 vs Fadiora
Round 1 Aug 28, 2010 vs Mitchell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nelson 9.0
fighter Akhmedov 8.7
Fast finishes by Nelson
261 seconds Feb 25, 2012 vs Butenko
231 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Fadiora
171 seconds Aug 28, 2010 vs Mitchell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nelson
legend Akhmedov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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