UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hardy vs St. Pierre

1,995

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Much stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.4 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Dan Hardy
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hardy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Hardy
Significant Strikes94
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Hardy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hardy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Hardy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Hardy
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hardy St. Pierre
Significant Strikes33
Hardy's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Hardy's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hardy has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hardy is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hardy is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Hardy 8.5
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Hardy 7.8
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Hardy 8.2
Great knockouts by Hardy
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Ludwig
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Markham
Round 3 Apr 19, 2008 vs Reiner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Hardy 6.7
Great submissions by St. Pierre
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
Round 1 Aug 20, 2005 vs Trigg
Round 1 Jan 29, 2005 vs Strasser

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Hardy 7.8
Fast finishes by St. Pierre
594 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Hughes
385 seconds Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
473 seconds Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 27, 2010UFC 111
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XDEC
2,1412,284
2,1112,314
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Hardy
Read More
Hardy vs Aldo
Fantasy Cage Match
St. Pierre vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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