UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hyun Kim vs Diaz

2,147

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Hyun Kim

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Hyun Kim
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dong Hyun Kim
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.5 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Hyun Kim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dong
Hyun Kim
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hyun Kim Diaz
Significant Strikes58
Hyun Kim's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Hyun Kim's good takedown offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hyun Kim is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hyun Kim has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hyun Kim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz Hyun Kim
Significant Strikes76
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Diaz 9.3
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.9
fighter Diaz 7.8
Great takedowns by Hyun Kim
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
3 takedowns Jan 01, 2011 vs Diaz

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Diaz 7.4
Great knockouts by Hyun Kim
Round 2 Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Tan
Round 3 Aug 05, 2007 vs Hasegawa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 6.5
fighter Diaz 8.6
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hyun Kim 7.6
fighter Diaz 8.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
158 seconds Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
549 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Miller
267 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 SUB
1,9451,981
2,0001,926
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hyun Kim
legend Diaz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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