UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sadollah vs Ludwig

1,793

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sadollah

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Sadollah
WILL WIN

1,750

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Amir Sadollah
Much longer reach 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.5 vs 7.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Duane Ludwig
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Sadollah on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ludwig’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amir
Sadollah
In 10:14, how much damage will he do? Sadollah Ludwig
Significant Strikes53
Sadollah's good striking offense may be a factor against Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:14
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sadollah's below average takedown offense is matched by Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:14
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sadollah is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sadollah has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sadollah is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ludwig on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sadollah’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Duane
Ludwig
In 10:14, how much damage will he do? Ludwig Sadollah
Significant Strikes58
Ludwig's good striking offense may be a factor against Sadollah's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:14
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ludwig's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sadollah's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:14
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ludwig is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ludwig is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ludwig has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sadollah 8.9
fighter Ludwig 8.6
Great striking by Sadollah
36 strikes May 15, 2012 vs Lopez
62 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Johnson
87 strikes Jan 11, 2010 vs Blackburn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sadollah 7.5
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great takedowns by Sadollah
1 takedown May 15, 2012 vs Lopez
2 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Johnson
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Blackburn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sadollah 6.7
fighter Ludwig 7.3
Great knockouts by Ludwig
Round 2 Dec 08, 2006 vs Fryklund
Round 1 Jan 16, 2006 vs Goulet
Round 1 Jan 25, 2003 vs Pulver

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sadollah 7.7
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great submissions by Sadollah
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs Johnson
Round 1 Jun 21, 2008 vs Dollaway
Round 1 Dec 11, 2004 vs Stotz

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sadollah 7.5
fighter Ludwig 7.6
Fast finishes by Ludwig
110 seconds Sep 15, 2007 vs Stapel
11 seconds Jan 16, 2006 vs Goulet
73 seconds Jan 25, 2003 vs Pulver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R1 SUBX
1,8131,796
1,7611,848
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sadollah
legend Ludwig
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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