UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Le vs Morgan

1,966

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Le

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Le
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cung Le
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 6.2 Around 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 164 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 36 years vs 45 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Le on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cung
Le
In 5:23, how much damage will he do? Le Morgan
Significant Strikes36
Le's excellent striking offense will dominate Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:23
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Le's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:23
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Le has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Le is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Le is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Le’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 5:23, how much damage will he do? Morgan Le
Significant Strikes15
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Le's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:23
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Morgan's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Le's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Le 9.0
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Le
8 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs Franklin
55 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Cote
61 strikes Jun 26, 2010 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Le 9.3
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Le
Round 1 Nov 10, 2012 vs Franklin
Round 2 Jun 26, 2010 vs Smith
Round 3 Mar 29, 2008 vs Shamrock

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Le 6.8
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Le 8.5
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Le
137 seconds Nov 10, 2012 vs Franklin
406 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Smith
900 seconds Mar 29, 2008 vs Shamrock
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R2 KOX
1,7201,696
1,7661,650
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Le
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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