CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Le vs Morgan
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cung Le
Much heavier hands | 9.3 | vs | 6.2 | Around 50% better at knocking out good defenders |
Much better takedown defense | 9.1 | vs | 7.3 | Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down |
Better striker | 9.0 | vs | 7.9 | Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Fast finishes | 8.5 | vs | 7.5 | Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Much harder to hit | 8.8 | vs | 8.1 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
Puts up a fight | 8.8 | vs | 7.5 | More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Stronger jaw | 8.2 | vs | 7.8 | More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Heavier | 184 lbs | vs | 164 lbs | More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Better submission defense | 8.4 | vs | 8.1 | Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much stronger takedown offense | 8.6 | vs | 7.6 | Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Much better submission offense | 7.6 | vs | 6.8 | More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Significantly younger | 36 years | vs | 45 years | 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Le on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For Cung Le |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 5:23, how much damage will he do? | Le | Morgan | |
Significant Strikes36
Le's excellent striking offense will dominate Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:23 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Le's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:23 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Le has a very good chance of winning by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Average
Jaw
|
Submission
Le is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Good
Resistance
|
Decision
Le is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
Morgan on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Le’s defensive skills
Predictions For Sam Morgan |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 5:23, how much damage will he do? | Morgan | Le | |
Significant Strikes15
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Le's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:23 |
Below average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Morgan's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Le's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:23 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout |
Weak
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Good
Jaw
|
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission |
Average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Good
Resistance
|
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Le
8 strikes | Nov 10, 2012 | vs Franklin |
55 strikes | Jul 07, 2012 | vs Cote |
61 strikes | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Smith |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Le
Round 1 | Nov 10, 2012 | vs Franklin |
Round 2 | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Smith |
Round 3 | Mar 29, 2008 | vs Shamrock |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 | Nov 14, 2003 | vs Riley |
Round 1 | May 24, 2003 | vs Severson |
Round 1 | Apr 18, 2003 | vs Kirk |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Le
137 seconds | Nov 10, 2012 | vs Franklin |
406 seconds | Jun 26, 2010 | vs Smith |
900 seconds | Mar 29, 2008 | vs Shamrock |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 16, 2007Strikeforce - Four Men Enter, One Man Survives
R3 KOX
R2 KOX
1,7201,696
1,7661,650
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?