UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caceres vs Page

1,877

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Caceres

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Caceres
WILL WIN

1,775

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alex Caceres
Much longer reach 187 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better submission defense 7.9 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Damacio Page
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Caceres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Page’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Caceres
In 12:59, how much damage will he do? Caceres Page
Significant Strikes59
Caceres's average striking offense is matched by Page's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 12:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Caceres's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Page's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:59
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caceres is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Caceres has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Caceres is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Page on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caceres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Damacio
Page
In 12:59, how much damage will he do? Page Caceres
Significant Strikes49
Page's average striking offense is matched by Caceres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 117 Significant Strikes in 12:59
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Page's average takedown offense is matched by Caceres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Page is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Page is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Page is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Caceres 8.6
fighter Page 8.4
Great striking by Caceres
53 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Pettis
106 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Delorme
64 strikes Nov 10, 2012 vs Tezuka

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Caceres 7.3
fighter Page 8.5
Great takedowns by Page
1 takedown Oct 10, 2009 vs Campuzano
1 takedown Feb 13, 2008 vs Jorgensen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Caceres 6.9
fighter Page 7.9
Great knockouts by Page
Round 1 May 31, 2013 vs Ybarra
Round 1 Mar 01, 2009 vs Galvao
Round 1 Jan 28, 2006 vs Vigneault

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Caceres 7.8
fighter Page 7.3
Great submissions by Caceres
Round 3 Jan 25, 2014 vs Pettis
Round 2 Jul 11, 2012 vs Page
Round 1 May 14, 2009 vs Garcia

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Caceres 7.3
fighter Page 8.0
Fast finishes by Page
62 seconds Oct 10, 2009 vs Campuzano
18 seconds Mar 01, 2009 vs Galvao
80 seconds Jan 28, 2006 vs Vigneault
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 11, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 4
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,6211,732
1,6871,667
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Caceres
legend Page
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus