UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Caceres vs Faber

1,877

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.9 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Alex Caceres
Much longer reach 187 cm vs 170 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 29 years vs 38 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Caceres’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Faber Caceres
Significant Strikes46
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Caceres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Caceres's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Caceres on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Caceres
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Caceres Faber
Significant Strikes35
Caceres's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Caceres's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Caceres is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Caceres is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Caceres is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Caceres 8.6
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Caceres 7.3
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Caceres 6.9
Great knockouts by Caceres
Round 2 Jun 17, 2017 vs Dy
Round 3 Feb 04, 2010 vs Jahmal McLennan
Round 2 Dec 13, 2008 vs Quintanilla

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Caceres 7.8
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Caceres 7.3
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 5, 2014UFC 175
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Caceres
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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