UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ludwig vs Edwards

1,750

CageRank

WINNER
Edwards

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Edwards
WILL WIN

1,807

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yves Edwards
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 7.2 vs 7.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Duane Ludwig
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Edwards on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ludwig’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yves
Edwards
In 7:32, how much damage will he do? Edwards Ludwig
Significant Strikes36
Edwards's good striking offense may be a factor against Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Edwards's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:32
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edwards has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Edwards is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Edwards is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ludwig on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edwards’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Duane
Ludwig
In 7:32, how much damage will he do? Ludwig Edwards
Significant Strikes38
Ludwig's good striking offense may be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Ludwig's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:32
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ludwig is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ludwig is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ludwig has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Edwards 8.7
fighter Ludwig 8.6
Great striking by Edwards
8 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
33 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
4 strikes May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Edwards 7.2
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great takedowns by Edwards
1 takedown Sep 15, 2010 vs Gunderson
1 takedown Jan 16, 2004 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Edwards 8.0
fighter Ludwig 7.3
Great knockouts by Edwards
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Noble
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Edwards 7.4
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great submissions by Edwards
Round 2 Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
Round 2 Dec 15, 2007 vs Martinez
Round 1 May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Edwards 8.1
fighter Ludwig 7.6
Fast finishes by Edwards
115 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
164 seconds Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen
276 seconds May 22, 2005 vs Mishima
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 21, 2008Strikeforce - Destruction
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,8101,851
1,8661,795
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Edwards
legend Ludwig
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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