UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ludwig vs Daley

1,750

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
82% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.6 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Duane Ludwig
Significantly better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ludwig’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 4:52, how much damage will he do? Daley Ludwig
Significant Strikes24
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense is matched by Ludwig's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ludwig on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Duane
Ludwig
In 4:52, how much damage will he do? Ludwig Daley
Significant Strikes22
Ludwig's good striking offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:52
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Ludwig's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:52
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ludwig is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ludwig is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ludwig is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Ludwig 8.6
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great takedowns by Daley
1 takedown Jun 22, 2007 vs Ludwig

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Ludwig 7.3
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Ludwig 7.0
Great submissions by Ludwig
Round 1 Dec 04, 2009 vs Roberts
Round 2 Feb 16, 2007 vs Kumazawa
Round 2 Aug 04, 2001 vs Bennett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Ludwig 7.6
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 KO
1,8071,837
1,7611,883
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Ludwig
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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