UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bowling vs Saffiedine

1,729

CageRank

WINNER
Saffiedine

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Saffiedine
WILL WIN

2,085

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tarec Saffiedine
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Roger Bowling
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Saffiedine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bowling’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tarec
Saffiedine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Saffiedine Bowling
Significant Strikes90
Saffiedine's good striking offense may be a factor against Bowling's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Saffiedine's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bowling's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Saffiedine is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Saffiedine has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bowling on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Saffiedine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roger
Bowling
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bowling Saffiedine
Significant Strikes70
Bowling's average striking offense is matched by Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bowling's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Saffiedine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bowling has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bowling is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bowling is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Saffiedine 8.9
fighter Bowling 8.6
Great striking by Saffiedine
116 strikes Jan 12, 2013 vs Marquardt
67 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Bowling
46 strikes Jan 07, 2012 vs Stinson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.7
fighter Bowling 8.4
Great takedowns by Bowling
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Saling
4 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Thornburg

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Saffiedine 6.7
fighter Bowling 8.2
Great knockouts by Bowling
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Saling
Round 1 Mar 07, 2009 vs Baczynski
Round 1 Apr 26, 2008 vs Bailey

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Saffiedine 7.1
fighter Bowling 6.8
Great submissions by Saffiedine
Round 1 May 30, 2009 vs Arellano
Round 1 Jun 27, 2008 vs Bondoc
Round 1 Jun 09, 2007 vs Grandin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Saffiedine 7.4
fighter Bowling 8.1
Fast finishes by Bowling
375 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Saling
9 seconds Mar 07, 2009 vs Baczynski
28 seconds Apr 26, 2008 vs Bailey
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
1,8631,942
1,8241,981
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Saffiedine
legend Bowling
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus