UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Diaz vs Grant

2,056

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grant Diaz
Significant Strikes84
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz Grant
Significant Strikes101
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Diaz 9.3
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Diaz 7.8
Great takedowns by Grant
3 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Prater
2 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
4 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Paulino

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Diaz 7.4
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Diaz 8.6
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Diaz 8.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
158 seconds Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
549 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Miller
267 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Diaz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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