UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Tate vs Rousey

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
80% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.4 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Miesha Tate
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Tate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 4:32, how much damage will she do? Rousey Tate
Significant Strikes20
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:32
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Tate on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miesha
Tate
In 4:32, how much damage will she do? Tate Rousey
Significant Strikes15
Tate's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:32
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Tate's good takedown offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:32
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tate is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tate is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Tate 7.9
Great striking by Rousey
40 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
3 strikes Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
8 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Tate 9.0
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Tate 6.8
Great knockouts by Rousey
Round 1 Aug 01, 2015 vs Correia
Round 1 Jul 05, 2014 vs Davis
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs McMann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Tate 7.8
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Tate 7.4
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 28, 2013UFC 168
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8191,958
1,7881,989
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,9011,803
1,8371,867
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Tate
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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