UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Misaki vs Daley

2,014

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
50% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 35 years vs 42 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Kazuo Misaki
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Misaki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? Daley Misaki
Significant Strikes60
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Misaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Misaki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Misaki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazuo
Misaki
In 12:44, how much damage will he do? Misaki Daley
Significant Strikes55
Misaki's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 115 Significant Strikes in 12:44
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Misaki's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Misaki is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Misaki is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Misaki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Misaki 8.6
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Misaki 7.9
Great takedowns by Misaki
1 takedown Mar 03, 2012 vs Daley
1 takedown Nov 05, 2006 vs Kang
1 takedown Aug 26, 2006 vs Henderson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Misaki 7.8
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Misaki 7.6
Great submissions by Misaki
Round 1 Aug 02, 2009 vs Nakamura
Round 2 Mar 05, 2008 vs Bahadurzada
Round 2 Jul 25, 2004 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Misaki 8.2
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR1 KO
1,9472,074
2,0142,007
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Misaki
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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