UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Evans-Smith vs Florence

1,711

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Evans-Smith

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Evans-Smith
WILL WIN

1,456

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ashlee Evans-Smith
Much stronger jaw 8.3 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Ashley Florence
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 155 lbs vs 136 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Evans-Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Florence’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashlee
Evans-Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans-Smith has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Evans-Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Evans-Smith has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Florence on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans-Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashley
Florence
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Florence is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Florence has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Florence is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans-Smith 7.7
fighter Florence 7.3
Great knockouts by Evans-Smith
Round 3 Oct 12, 2013 vs Fox
Round 3 Dec 17, 2010 vs Mosqueda
Round 1 Nov 07, 2010 vs Florence
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 7, 2010BTF 13
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,5441,500
1,5881,456
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans-Smith
legend Florence
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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