UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Evans-Smith vs Reneau

1,711

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Evans-Smith

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Evans-Smith
WILL WIN

1,623

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ashlee Evans-Smith
Significantly heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Marion Reneau
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Evans-Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reneau’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ashlee
Evans-Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans-Smith has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Evans-Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Evans-Smith has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Reneau on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans-Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marion
Reneau
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reneau has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Reneau has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Reneau is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans-Smith 7.7
fighter Reneau 7.9
Great knockouts by Reneau
Round 1 Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
Round 3 Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans-Smith 6.2
fighter Reneau 7.1
Great submissions by Reneau
Round 1 Feb 22, 2015 vs Andrade
Round 1 Jul 25, 2014 vs Riordon

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans-Smith 6.8
fighter Reneau 7.9
Fast finishes by Reneau
84 seconds Nov 14, 2013 vs Rodriguez
10 seconds Oct 26, 2012 vs Reyes
698 seconds Mar 07, 2010 vs Castellanos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 21, 2016UFC Fight Night 83
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans-Smith
legend Reneau
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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