UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Belfort

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.9 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.3 Around 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 10.0 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Souza Belfort
Significant Strikes27
Souza's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense is matched by Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Belfort Souza
Significant Strikes44
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Belfort 9.2
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Belfort 7.6
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Belfort 10.0
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Belfort 6.9
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Belfort 10.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 14, 2016UFC 198
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Belfort
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
i dont think it goes that far.
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