UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Okami

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,150

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 183 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Yushin Okami
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.8 vs 9.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 187 cm Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Okami’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? Souza Okami
Significant Strikes49
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense is matched by Okami's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Okami on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yushin
Okami
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? Okami Souza
Significant Strikes24
Okami's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Okami's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Okami is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Okami is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Okami has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Okami 8.3
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Okami 8.4
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Okami 7.9
Great knockouts by Okami
Round 2 Aug 11, 2012 vs Roberts
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Tanner
Round 1 Jun 11, 2006 vs Takeuchi

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Okami 7.3
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Okami 8.0
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
2,1532,195
2,2092,139
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Okami
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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