UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Boetsch

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Souza
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 183 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 8:29, how much damage will he do? Souza Boetsch
Significant Strikes44
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:29
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:29
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 8:29, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Souza
Significant Strikes22
Boetsch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:29
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:29
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 11, 2017UFC 208
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus