UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Kennedy

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,145

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Tim Kennedy
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kennedy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 11:00, how much damage will he do? Souza Kennedy
Significant Strikes34
Souza's good striking offense won't be a factor against Kennedy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Kennedy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Kennedy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Kennedy
In 11:00, how much damage will he do? Kennedy Souza
Significant Strikes34
Kennedy's good striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 11:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kennedy's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kennedy is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kennedy has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kennedy is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Kennedy 8.8
Great striking by Kennedy
13 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Natal
9 strikes Jun 16, 2010 vs Prangley
18 strikes Jun 19, 2009 vs Thompson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Kennedy 9.0
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Kennedy 7.7
Great knockouts by Kennedy
Round 1 Nov 06, 2013 vs Natal
Round 1 Sep 23, 2006 vs Urbina
Round 2 Feb 23, 2003 vs Chacon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Kennedy 8.2
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Kennedy 8.5
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 21, 2010Strikeforce - Houston
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XR2 SUB
2,0102,013
2,0601,963
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Kennedy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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