UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Galesic

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Souza
WILL WIN

1,663

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.7 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.0 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.5 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Zelg Galesic
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 183 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Galesic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 2:30, how much damage will he do? Souza Galesic
Significant Strikes10
Souza's good striking offense is matched by Galesic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:30
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Galesic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:30
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Galesic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Zelg
Galesic
In 2:30, how much damage will he do? Galesic Souza
Significant Strikes7
Galesic's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 22 Significant Strikes in 2:30
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Galesic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 2:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Galesic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Galesic is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Galesic is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Galesic 8.6
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Galesic 8.1
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Galesic 8.2
Great knockouts by Galesic
Round 1 May 06, 2012 vs Marshall
Round 1 Mar 05, 2011 vs Chadwick
Round 1 Sep 30, 2006 vs Evans-Nicolle

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Galesic 6.7
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Galesic 8.4
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 23, 2008Dream 6
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,9001,765
1,9311,733
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Galesic
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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