UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Souza vs Romero

2,245

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Souza
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 6.6 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 6:23, how much damage will he do? Souza Romero
Significant Strikes31
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:23
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:23
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 6:23, how much damage will he do? Romero Souza
Significant Strikes20
Romero's good striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:23
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Romero's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Romero
60 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
50 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
12 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Romero 7.9
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Romero 6.6
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2015UFC 194
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Romero
Read More
Souza vs Whittaker
Fantasy Cage Match
Romero vs Bisping
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Souza will win, da.
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