UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marunde vs Souza

1,814

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 183 lbs vs 170 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Bristol Marunde
Longer reach 192 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marunde’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 6:04, how much damage will he do? Souza Marunde
Significant Strikes37
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Marunde's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:04
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Marunde's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:04
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Marunde on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bristol
Marunde
In 6:04, how much damage will he do? Marunde Souza
Significant Strikes10
Marunde's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:04
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Marunde's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marunde is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Marunde is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marunde is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Marunde 8.0
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Marunde 8.2
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Marunde 6.9
Great knockouts by Souza
Round 1 May 14, 2016 vs Belfort
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Brunson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Marunde 7.8
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Marunde 7.8
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8862,029
1,8562,059
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Marunde
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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