UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Stout

1,978

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,869

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Stout
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stout’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens Stout
Significant Strikes90
Stephens's average striking offense may be a factor against Stout's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Stout's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stout on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Stout
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stout Stephens
Significant Strikes68
Stout's good striking offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stout's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stout is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stout is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stout has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Stout 8.9
Great striking by Stout
13 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Edwards
94 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Lauzon
62 strikes Mar 04, 2006 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Stout 7.5
Great takedowns by Stephens
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
6 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Payan
3 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Stout 7.4
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Stout 6.3
Great submissions by Stephens
Round 1 Aug 19, 2006 vs Alcorn
Round 2 Feb 06, 2004 vs Bell
Round 3 Jan 16, 2004 vs Erdman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Stout 7.4
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 8, 2010UFC 113
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
1,8661,932
1,9251,873
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Stout
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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