UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs dos Anjos

1,978

CageRank

WINNER
dos Anjos

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance dos Anjos
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Stephens
Significant Strikes54
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
dos Anjos's good takedown offense is matched by Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Stephens dos Anjos
Significant Strikes54
Stephens's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stephens's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
fighter Stephens 8.5
Great striking by Stephens
40 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
3 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
55 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Stout

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
fighter Stephens 8.0
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
fighter Stephens 8.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
fighter Stephens 6.5
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
fighter Stephens 8.0
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 15, 2008UFC 91
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8841,858
1,9301,812
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Anjos
legend Stephens
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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