UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Mariano Bezerra

1,978

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,897

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rony Mariano Bezerra
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mariano Bezerra’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 12:25, how much damage will he do? Stephens Mariano Bezerra
Significant Strikes63
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Mariano Bezerra's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Mariano Bezerra's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mariano Bezerra on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rony
Mariano Bezerra
In 12:25, how much damage will he do? Mariano Bezerra Stephens
Significant Strikes44
Mariano Bezerra's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 112 Significant Strikes in 12:25
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mariano Bezerra's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mariano Bezerra is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mariano Bezerra has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mariano Bezerra is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Mariano Bezerra 8.4
Great striking by Stephens
40 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
3 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
55 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Stout

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Mariano Bezerra 8.0
Great takedowns by Stephens
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
6 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Payan
3 takedowns May 08, 2010 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Mariano Bezerra 7.7
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Mariano Bezerra 8.2
Great submissions by Mariano Bezerra
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Wilkinson
Round 1 Dec 15, 2010 vs Sardinha
Round 1 Sep 12, 2009 vs Arantes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Mariano Bezerra 8.8
Fast finishes by Mariano Bezerra
84 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Wilkinson
556 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Sicilia
75 seconds Dec 15, 2010 vs Sardinha
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 32
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,8951,953
1,9531,895
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Mariano Bezerra
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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