UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Stephens vs Davis

1,978

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,772

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 31 years vs 43 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Marcus Davis
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Davis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Stephens Davis
Significant Strikes56
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Davis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marcus
Davis
In 12:17, how much damage will he do? Davis Stephens
Significant Strikes43
Davis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:17
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Davis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Davis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Davis is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Davis has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Davis 8.4
Great striking by Stephens
40 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
3 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
55 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Stout

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Davis 8.1
Great takedowns by Davis
1 takedown Oct 18, 2008 vs Kelly
1 takedown Sep 08, 2007 vs Taylor
1 takedown Dec 13, 2006 vs Carter

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Davis 7.2
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Davis 7.2
Great submissions by Davis
Round 2 Oct 18, 2008 vs Kelly
Round 1 Sep 08, 2007 vs Taylor
Round 1 Oct 10, 2006 vs Petz

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Davis 7.6
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 1, 2011UFC 125
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8771,877
1,9271,827
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Davis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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